Tomorrows 3.20 at Southwell sees the return of a Hollywood A-Lister searching for a six-timer in the shape of Mick Easterbys Shadows Lengthen.
Up 7lb for his latest win 2 weeks prior to Christmas, the inevitable step up in class occurs on his beloved Fibresand surface, where 5 others will be hoping a half stone increase stops him in his tracks.
His speed figures achieved when allowed to dictate the pace have been fairly consistent, and I can't envisage anything in the field that will take him on for the lead.
Profits Reality and Trachonitis rate as clear dangers on the figures, with the former preferred due to his prominent racing style.
Although Trachonitis did manage to get his nose in front last time out over the Fibresand, the surface was not riding anywhere near as quick as it has been on that occasion, earning a pace figure of only 43. The average since November is 63, which indicates a significant advantage to horses laying up with the early pace.
Up 10lb for his win on Dec 27, the trainers representative indicated following that win that he would be turned out again quickly under a penalty, this was not the case and could indicate the horse had a setback, or maybe the converse - that connections were confident, and more inclined to wait for a more profitable opportunity.
Although only 6 runners, this could be an interesting race. If Shadows Lengthen is allowed an uncontested lead, he will be difficult to peg back.
Elsewhere on the card, Imprimis Tagula bids to make amends for a poor showing last time out, where a change in tactics backfired spectacularly. Forcing a suicidal pace that day, he was cooked 2 furlong from home and the usual patient, stalking tactics could be in store in tomorrows 2.50, a class 2 handicap sprint over 6f.
Course specialist Ingleby Arch will be looking to reverse placings with the selection, following his 9 length drubbing last time out over an inadequate 7 furlong, this 6 will be more to his liking.
Selections:
2.50 Imprimis Tagula
3.20 Shadows Lengthen.
Good Luck All
Hollywood_G
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