Whatever it is, thats what was achieved by Seek The Fair Land this evening.
Unlike the muddling pace last time out, there seemed no apparent excuses for tonights 4th place showing.
An alarming drift from 11/8 to 5/2 15 minutes prior to the off was not a good sign and the writing was on the wall on the home turn as the pace quickened and Carsons mount was left decidely flat footed.
The pace scenario I envisaged was on the button as Seek The Fair Land stalked a decent clip set by Simple Rhythm and Bravo Echo. Although 16/1 shot Indian Skipper had obviously not read the script as he flew 'Pegasus like' down the outside to pip Bravo Echo right on the bob.
Vintage was disappointing, racing keenly throughout the opening stages and was a spent force in the closing stages.
All in all, not a great outcome for the blog, or perhaps more importantly, my pocket!
I'm of the opinion that the handicapper may now have a grip on Seek The Fair Land, although will reserve full judgement until I have calculated todays speed figures for the Kempton meeting. My gut feeling however, is that the figure will be well below the level of his December 100+ performances.
Hollywood_G
Wednesday, 13 January 2010
Fair Land Seeking Redemption.....
Not a fantastic day for the blog on Saturday as Imprimis Tagula was a shade disappointing in the Super 7 race at Lingfield, attempting to force the pace throughout he faded badly in the final furlong to finish 6th.
A perfect split up the rail opened up for Elna Bright and he managed to hold on from the fast finishing Atlantic Story, who is one to follow on the Polytrack this winter.
The Scoop6 was won by 5 lucky punters, of which I was not one! Although the majority of the horses ran satisfactorily, achieving 5 placed finishes from the 6 selections.
I know its very short notice but tonight’s 6.45 Handicap at Kempton is a chance for A-Lister 'Seek The Fair Land' to make up for a slightly below-par performance in his last race, where he was beaten a short head in a tactical nightmare.
Being drawn in Box 1 could be soon as some to be a negative, but the stats don't back this up and the outside two stalls at Kempton have a decent record. There is not a natural pacesetter in tonight’s race with the majority of the field hold-up performers, but this should enable young William Carson to manoeuvre the gelding into a decent stalking position behind the other likely pacesetters Bravo Echo and Simple Rhythm.
Two interesting horses for the forecast are Vintage, who looked to need the race last time out at Kempton after a 207 day lay-off and Bravo Echo, who ran against a distinct pace bias in his first appearance for new connections after a 3 month break. Both horses should come on for their respective runs, and may play a part in the finish.
Recommendations:
Back Seek The Fair Land to win @ (a slightly alarming drifting) 9/4 with Bet365
Back Vintage EW @ 12/1 with Ladbrokes (small Stakes)
Seek The Fair Land / Vintage / Bravo Echo (Reverse Forecasts)
Good Luck all,
Hollywood_G
A perfect split up the rail opened up for Elna Bright and he managed to hold on from the fast finishing Atlantic Story, who is one to follow on the Polytrack this winter.
The Scoop6 was won by 5 lucky punters, of which I was not one! Although the majority of the horses ran satisfactorily, achieving 5 placed finishes from the 6 selections.
I know its very short notice but tonight’s 6.45 Handicap at Kempton is a chance for A-Lister 'Seek The Fair Land' to make up for a slightly below-par performance in his last race, where he was beaten a short head in a tactical nightmare.
Being drawn in Box 1 could be soon as some to be a negative, but the stats don't back this up and the outside two stalls at Kempton have a decent record. There is not a natural pacesetter in tonight’s race with the majority of the field hold-up performers, but this should enable young William Carson to manoeuvre the gelding into a decent stalking position behind the other likely pacesetters Bravo Echo and Simple Rhythm.
Two interesting horses for the forecast are Vintage, who looked to need the race last time out at Kempton after a 207 day lay-off and Bravo Echo, who ran against a distinct pace bias in his first appearance for new connections after a 3 month break. Both horses should come on for their respective runs, and may play a part in the finish.
Recommendations:
Back Seek The Fair Land to win @ (a slightly alarming drifting) 9/4 with Bet365
Back Vintage EW @ 12/1 with Ladbrokes (small Stakes)
Seek The Fair Land / Vintage / Bravo Echo (Reverse Forecasts)
Good Luck all,
Hollywood_G
Saturday, 9 January 2010
Big Freeze puts All-Weather Centre Stage....
Happy New Year all, I have been unable to update the blog over the festive period as I nipped across the pond for a 'vacation' on the arctic East Coast of America.
Although it was nice to come back to thaw out in the reasonably warm temperatures here, the UK as ever were ill prepared for the winter weather, and it has wreaked havoc with all sporting events, with Horse Racing no different.
However, one positive to come out of all the postponements is that Channel 4 are covering the two all weather meetings today at Kempton & Lingfield, and the six 'Scoop6' races are all run on synthetics - surely a first?
Although the racing today is pretty low grade stuff, the newly formed 'super 7' 7 furlong championship series begins at Lingfield today. Consisting of 7 (naturally) 'win and you're in' 7 furlong races in the UK, Ireland and France, and culminating in a £50,000 final on Winter Derby day in March, the idea is a great boost to All-Weather racing.
Todays first qualifier is worth £10k to the winner and has naturally attracted a big field of runners, with some all-weather specialists thrown in with a few in form improvers.
Top weight and top of the 'specialist' category is Mick Easterbys Atlantic Story, who is 11 from 19 on synthetic surfaces and more impressively 5 from 9 at Lingfield, with three of his 5 wins over the 7f.
He has not been seen since finishing 3rd over an inadequate 5f at Haydock in September, although he has run well fresh previously.
Marco Botti sends Cermonial Jade here on route to the Dubai Carnival and he has been in decent form recently, with his 3/4 length 3rd to Dohasa in the listed Sunbury Stakes at Kempton being his best performance, and a reproduction of that will be good enough for him to enter the shake up today, however his hold-up style of running may lead to trouble in a big field.
Imprimis Tagula falls into the improver category and he has been in fantastic form, beaten only once in his last five starts, and there was no shame in defeat by the massively in form Seek The Fair Land at Kempton 3 starts ago. His speed figures are good enough for him to be competitive here. He is closely tied in with Ebraam on their lastest Wolverhampton run but I would not expect the placings to be reversed here.
There should be plenty of pace in the race with Flowing Cape and Carcinetto taking each other on up front, and the majority of the field laying up with the pace.
Imprimis Tagula should get a good position from the 5 box and I can see him going well at odds of 15/2 with Stan James, and I will propose a few forecasts and tricasts including Atlantic Story, Ceremonial Jade and Fathsta.
The other scoop6 races are not great but I will have a go based on the top speed figures in each race as follows:
Leg 1 - Imprimis Tagula
Leg 2 - Support Fund
Leg 3 - Tiddliwinks
Leg 4 - Rubenstar
Leg 5 - Tanley
Leg 6 - BookiesIndexGirl
Good Luck all
Hollywood_G
Although it was nice to come back to thaw out in the reasonably warm temperatures here, the UK as ever were ill prepared for the winter weather, and it has wreaked havoc with all sporting events, with Horse Racing no different.
However, one positive to come out of all the postponements is that Channel 4 are covering the two all weather meetings today at Kempton & Lingfield, and the six 'Scoop6' races are all run on synthetics - surely a first?
Although the racing today is pretty low grade stuff, the newly formed 'super 7' 7 furlong championship series begins at Lingfield today. Consisting of 7 (naturally) 'win and you're in' 7 furlong races in the UK, Ireland and France, and culminating in a £50,000 final on Winter Derby day in March, the idea is a great boost to All-Weather racing.
Todays first qualifier is worth £10k to the winner and has naturally attracted a big field of runners, with some all-weather specialists thrown in with a few in form improvers.
Top weight and top of the 'specialist' category is Mick Easterbys Atlantic Story, who is 11 from 19 on synthetic surfaces and more impressively 5 from 9 at Lingfield, with three of his 5 wins over the 7f.
He has not been seen since finishing 3rd over an inadequate 5f at Haydock in September, although he has run well fresh previously.
Marco Botti sends Cermonial Jade here on route to the Dubai Carnival and he has been in decent form recently, with his 3/4 length 3rd to Dohasa in the listed Sunbury Stakes at Kempton being his best performance, and a reproduction of that will be good enough for him to enter the shake up today, however his hold-up style of running may lead to trouble in a big field.
Imprimis Tagula falls into the improver category and he has been in fantastic form, beaten only once in his last five starts, and there was no shame in defeat by the massively in form Seek The Fair Land at Kempton 3 starts ago. His speed figures are good enough for him to be competitive here. He is closely tied in with Ebraam on their lastest Wolverhampton run but I would not expect the placings to be reversed here.
There should be plenty of pace in the race with Flowing Cape and Carcinetto taking each other on up front, and the majority of the field laying up with the pace.
Imprimis Tagula should get a good position from the 5 box and I can see him going well at odds of 15/2 with Stan James, and I will propose a few forecasts and tricasts including Atlantic Story, Ceremonial Jade and Fathsta.
The other scoop6 races are not great but I will have a go based on the top speed figures in each race as follows:
Leg 1 - Imprimis Tagula
Leg 2 - Support Fund
Leg 3 - Tiddliwinks
Leg 4 - Rubenstar
Leg 5 - Tanley
Leg 6 - BookiesIndexGirl
Good Luck all
Hollywood_G
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